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A nomogram for predicting pathologic node negativity after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer patients: a nationwide, multicenter retrospective cohort study (CSBrS-012)

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机构: [1]Department of Breast Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China. [2]Department of Breast Disease, Henan Breast Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University and Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China. [3]Department of Thyroid, Breast and Vascular Surgery, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China. [4]Surgical Oncology Department, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China. [5]Department of Breast Surgery, The Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, China. [6]Department of Surgery, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China. [7]Fourth Department of Breast Surgery, Jilin Cancer Hospital, Changchun, China. [8]Department of Breast Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China. [9]Department of Breast Surgery, Affiliated Wudang Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, China. [10]Department of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China. [11]Breast Disease Center, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China. [12]Department of Breast Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China. [13]Department of General Surgery, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China. [14]Department of Breast Surgery, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. [15]Department of Breast Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China. [16]Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery , Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong University, Jinan, China. [17]Department of Thyroid, Breast, Hernia Surgery, The Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region People's Hospital, Hohhot, China. [18]Department of Breast Surgery, Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai, China. [19]Department of General Surgery, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, China. [20]Department of Breast Surgery, The First Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China. [21]Department of Vascular Surgery/Interventional Medicine, Xiang yang No.1 People's Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Xiangyang, China. [22]Department of Breast Surgery, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China.
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关键词: breast cancer neoadjuvant chemotherapy pathologic nodal response prediction nomogram pathologic complete response

摘要:
This study aimed to investigate the factors associated with pathologic node-negativity (ypN0) in patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) to develop and validate an accurate prediction nomogram.The CSBrS-012 study (2010-2020) included female patients with primary breast cancer treated with NAC followed by breast and axillary surgery in 20 hospitals across China. In the present study, 7,711 eligible patients were included, comprising 6,428 patients in the primary cohort from 15 hospitals and 1,283 patients in the external validation cohort from five hospitals. The hospitals were randomly assigned. The primary cohort was randomized at a 3:1 ratio and divided into a training set and an internal validation set. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed on the training set, after which a nomogram was constructed and validated both internally and externally.In total, 3,560 patients (46.2%) achieved ypN0, and 1,558 patients (20.3%) achieved pathologic complete response in the breast (bpCR). A nomogram was constructed based on the clinical nodal stage before NAC (cN), ER, PR, HER2, Ki67, NAC treatment cycle, and bpCR, which were independently associated with ypN0. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the training set was 0.80. The internal and external validation demonstrated good discrimination, with AUCs of 0.79 and 0.76, respectively.We present a real-world study based on nationwide large-sample data that can be used to effectively screen for ypN0 to provide better advice for the management of residual axillary disease in breast cancer patients undergoing NAC.Copyright © 2024 Maimaitiaili, Li, Chai, Liu, Ling, Zhao, Yang, Liu, Liu, Zhang, Mao, Yu, Liu, Fu, Wang, Jiang, Zhao, Tian, Cao, Wu, Song, Jin, Wu, He, Fan and Zhang.

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大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学
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大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学
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Q2 ONCOLOGY

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Breast Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.
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