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Comparison of the predictive performance of three lymph node staging systems for late-onset gastric cancer patients after surgery

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机构: [1]Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University, Baoding, Hebei, China. [2]The Third Department of Surgery, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China. [3]Hebei Key Laboratory of Precision Diagnosis and Comprehensive Treatment of Gastric Cancer, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China. [4]Big Data Analysis and Mining Application for Precise Diagnosis and Treatment of Gastric Cancer Hebei Provincial Engineering Research Center, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
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关键词: XGBoost late-onset gastric cancer log odds of positive lymph nodes lymph node stage nomogram

摘要:
Lymph node (LN) status is a vital prognostic factor for patients. However, there has been limited focus on predicting the prognosis of patients with late-onset gastric cancer (LOGC). This study aimed to investigate the predictive potential of the log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), lymph node ratio (LNR), and pN stage in assessing the prognosis of patients diagnosed with LOGC.The LOGC data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. This study evaluated and compared the predictive performance of three LN staging systems. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were carried out to identify prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). Three machine learning methods, namely, LASSO, XGBoost, and RF analyses, were subsequently used to identify the optimal LN staging system. A nomogram was built to predict the prognosis of patients with LOGC. The efficacy of the model was demonstrated through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis.A total of 4,743 patients with >16 removed lymph nodes were ultimately included in this investigation. Three LN staging systems demonstrated significant performance in predicting survival outcomes (P < 0.001). The LNR exhibited the most important prognostic ability, as evidenced by the use of three machine learning methods. Utilizing independent factors derived from multivariate Cox regression analysis, a nomogram for OS was constructed.The calibration, C-index, and AUC revealed their excellent predictive performance. The LNR demonstrated a more powerful performance than other LN staging methods in LOGC patients after surgery. Our novel nomogram exhibited superior clinical feasibility and may assist in patient clinical decision-making.© 2024 Chen, Ding and Zhao.

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出版当年[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 外科
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大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 外科
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Q2 SURGERY

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第一作者机构: [1]Affiliated Hospital of Hebei University, Baoding, Hebei, China.
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通讯机构: [2]The Third Department of Surgery, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China. [3]Hebei Key Laboratory of Precision Diagnosis and Comprehensive Treatment of Gastric Cancer, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China. [4]Big Data Analysis and Mining Application for Precise Diagnosis and Treatment of Gastric Cancer Hebei Provincial Engineering Research Center, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
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