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A novel nomogram for predicting locoregional recurrence risk in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and mastectomy.

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机构: [1]Department of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College [2]Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Department of Radiation Oncology, Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing [3]Department of Radiation Oncology, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi’an [4]Department of Oncology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha [5]Department of Radiation Oncology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, Tianjin [6]Department of Radiation Oncology, Sun Yat-Sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou [7]Department of Radiation Oncology, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai [8]Department of Radiation Oncology, Forth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang [9]Department of Radiation Oncology, Cancer Hospital of Jilin Province, Changchun [10]Cancer Center, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan [11]Department of Radiation Oncology, the First Hospital, Jilin University, Changchun [12]Department of Radiation Oncology, First Hospital of Qiqihaer, Qiqihaer, China
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关键词: Breast cancer Neoadjuvant chemotherapy Mastectomy Locoregional recurrence Competing risk nomogram

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This study aimed to establish a nomogram for predicting locoregional recurrence (LRR) in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and mastectomy.A total of 2368 patients who received NAC and mastectomy between 2000 and 2014 from 12 grade A tertiary hospitals in China were analyzed retrospectively. The nomogram was developed based on the patients treated in three cancer hospitals (training set, n = 1629) and validated based on patients from the other nine general hospitals (validation set, n = 739). Factors identified from Fine and Gray's competing risk analysis were used to establish the nomogram. The predictive performance of the nomogram model was compared with the cTNM stage, ypTNM stage, and the Neo-Bioscore model by using the area under the time dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (tAUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).The nomogram incorporated six risk factors derived from multivariable analysis of the training set including age, ypT stage, ypN stage, lymph node ratio, postmastectomy radiotherapy, and endocrine therapy. In the training set, the AUC of the nomogram was 0.792, which was higher than the values of the cTNM stage (0.582), ypTNM stage (0.737), and the Neo-Bioscore prognosis model (0.658). In the validation set, the AUC of the cTNM (0.619); ypTNM (0.636); and Neo-Bioscore staging system (0.584) were also significantly lower than the AUC of the nomogram (0.705). Both in the training and validation sets, the calibration curve showed good agreement between the nomogram-based predictions and the actual observations.The novel nomogram provides a more accurate evaluation of LRR for breast cancer patients treated with NAC and mastectomy.Copyright © 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 核医学 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 肿瘤学 2 区 核医学
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出版当年[2021]版:
Q1 ONCOLOGY Q1 RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGING
最新[2023]版:
Q1 ONCOLOGY Q1 RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGING

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2021版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2020版] 出版后一年[2022版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College [2]Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Department of Radiation Oncology, Peking University Cancer Hospital and Institute, Beijing
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通讯机构: [1]Department of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College [*1]Department of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, 17 Panjiayuannanli, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100021, China
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